I’m almost always an optimist, perhaps as a mater of principle, It takes a lot for me to admit that ‘ok, it is that bad really’. I also have a tendency toward contraryism (and making up words), so when I say, contrary to the recent malaise and doom-saying regarding the political, social, economic state of affairs that I am very optimistic for the 2010s it should be taken in that light.
I have great faith in progress and a human ability to forge common alliance, to nurture relationships through empathy whether interpersonal or intercontinental. Speed of light communications blurs the distinction, it sounds a lot less geeky and sad these days to admit that I have friends that I see maybe three times a year that I feel I have a closer relationship with that ones I see once a month, simply because I have an almost daily online connection with them.
As The Beatles sang, it’s getting better all the time. The statistics are hard to argue with in terms of child mortality, availably of education, disease control, equality not dependant on gender/race/disability etc. Taking a century by century view all these indicators are ascendant. The thing is that I’m not sure we get exponentially happier.
My explanation is that it’s simply due to the continual and parallel heightening of expectations (I say ‘my’ explanation… of course I know that many great philosophers have mused thus, and I’m just riffing on their theme). I like to make a football analogy, this season Newcastle fans would have been dancing in the streets had they finished 4th bottom in the Premiership, and therefore survived, yet a few years ago they were despondent and calling for heads to roll because they finished 2nd. The reason of course is a very different set of expectations.
I have great regard for modern philosophers like Alain de Botton, he’s doing a great job of bringing ancient truths and ideas to the modern amphitheatre. De Botton often invokes Ludwig Wittgenstein’s quote that philosophy is a battle against the bewitchment of our intelligence by means of language. I think that this battle is being won and that religious fundamentalism, right wing protectionism rather than being resurgent is really in its final death struggle with modernity.
Here’s my theory as to why the 2010s will be a time of increased happiness, especially in the UK. Firstly, expectations have been severely lowered over the last year. What ever the idealoges and bandwagon jumpers may say the fundamentals of capitalism as a way of setting prices for goods and services is as sound as it ever has been, furthermore the Labour government of the last decade has solidified some very strong social policy to soften the blow of those who fail to prosper.
The shock to the political system of the Expenses Scandal will force a resetting of the political, parliamentary and democratic structures. In 2010 we’ll have a Tory government, as much as a may disagree with many of their policy positions a new fresh faced government in a new democratic atmosphere will make people feel more positive for the future. The recession isn’t as bad as people think it is, certainly in terms of their personal wealth and future prospects, when the economy starts to grow again and people realise the world hasn’t ended they will be happy (like Newcastle finishing 4th bottom) they may be a bit more careful about credit cards and property speculation, but that’s ok. Then we have the Olympics in 2012 the build up to that festival and celebration of the UK will be the catalyst for a golden decade. OK, once again I’m over optimistic.
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